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June New-Home Sales Cool As Mortgage Rates Rise

By Kerry Smith Newly built home sales fell 2.5% last month. NAHB cited higher mortgage rates and some supply chain issues for electrical transformers as the leading cause.

WASHINGTON – June sales of newly built, single-family homes fell 2.5% to 697,000 (seasonally adjusted annual rate) from a downwardly revised reading in May, according to newly released data by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau.

However, new home sales are up 23.8% year-to-year.

“Rising mortgage rates in June, coupled with elevated construction costs and supply chain issues for electrical transformers, acted as headwinds on the new home sales market,” says Alicia Huey, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB).

“Demand for new homes cooled in June primarily due to a more than quarter-point rise in mortgage rates over the previous month,” says Danushka Nanayakkara-Skillington, NAHB’s assistant vice president for forecasting and analysis. “However, the lack of existing inventory and the Federal Reserve nearing the end of its rate hikes signal that demand for new homes may rise in the coming quarters.”

A new home sale occurs when a sales contract is signed or a deposit is accepted. The home can be in any stage of construction: not yet started, under construction or completed. In addition to adjusting for seasonal effects, the June reading of 697,000 units is the number of homes that would sell if this pace continued for the next 12 months.

New single-family home inventory in June was 432,000, down 3.6% compared to a year ago and representing a 7.4-months’ supply at the current building pace. A measure near a 6 months’ supply is considered balanced.

Of that total inventory, 67,000 were completed, ready-to-occupy homes, up 91.4% from a year ago. Still, completed homes made up only 15% of total inventory.

The median new home sale price in June was $415,400, down roughly 4% year-to-year.

Regionally, on a year-to-date basis, new home sales rose 4.7% in the Northeast and 3.2% in the South. They were down 7.6% in the Midwest and 16.5% in the West.

© 2023 Florida Realtors®

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